Thesis
OneWater Marine (NASDAQ:ONEW) is a dominant party in the marine industry and is majorly involved in boat sales and other related services. The company appears to have a profitable future, even despite the market’s stiff competition and an unstable economy. This may be the result of successful mergers and acquisitions and a favorable market position.
Introduction
OneWater Marine is a big name in the marine industry that is into the trading of boats, both new and used, as well as offering related services such as parts, service, and insurance. The company has grown significantly through strategic acquisitions and has established a strong presence in the U.S. With the desire to give people the best service ever, OneWater Marine hangs in there while it copes with all sorts of oncoming challenges and tries to evolve in the industry.
Financial Performance
Quarter Ended |
2023-03-31 |
2023-06-30 |
2023-09-30 |
2023-12-31 |
2024-03-31 |
Revenue |
524.33 |
594.34 |
450.98 |
364.01 |
488.32 |
Revenue Growth (YoY) |
18.59% |
4.47% |
13.45% |
-0.72% |
-6.87% |
Cost of Revenue |
377.63 |
434.91 |
331.97 |
272.57 |
367.96 |
Gross Profit |
146.7 |
159.43 |
119.01 |
91.44 |
120.36 |
Selling, General & Admin |
90.19 |
92.84 |
84.65 |
79.6 |
86.51 |
Operating Expenses |
96.07 |
98.92 |
238.81 |
84.4 |
103.38 |
Operating Income |
50.63 |
60.52 |
-119.81 |
7.04 |
16.99 |
Other Expense / Income |
5.78 |
5.52 |
-12.95 |
-0.48 |
5.09 |
Net Income |
22.8 |
28.57 |
-98.87 |
-7.17 |
-3.97 |
Gross Margin |
27.98% |
26.83% |
26.39% |
25.12% |
24.65% |
Operating Margin |
9.66% |
10.18% |
-26.57% |
1.93% |
3.48% |
Profit Margin |
4.35% |
4.81% |
-21.92% |
-1.97% |
-0.81% |
Source: Seeking Alpha (Retrieved on 07-04-2024). Financials in millions USD.
The latest OneWater Marine financial report, as discussed in the Q2 2024 earnings call and detailed in the provided financial table, shows two crucial developments. First off, the revenue trend, which is the most noticeable one, is the decrease in revenue. This mainly happened in the most recent quarter where the revenue is down year-over-year by 6.87%. The main reason behind this decline is that the pandemic has had a demand normalizing effect along with competitive pressures and seasonal factors. However, the company managed to increase its pre-owned boat sales by 4%, indicating a shift in consumer preferences or inventory availability. Secondly, the company’s operating income has been marked by considerable fluctuations, including a $119.81 million decrease in Q3 2023, following major impairment and restructuring charges. Therefore, the data implies that the company is in the process of necessary operations to comply with the new economic situation.
Examining the data in greater detail, the business’s gross profit margin during this time kept going downwards, as the rate fell from 27.98% in Q1 2023 to 24.65% in Q1 2024. The current situation emphasizes the difficulties in producing profit despite the fact that costs and market factors keep changing. Furthermore, the company’s Q3 2023 operating expenses saw a surge in restructuring costs that were later reduced through cost management, thus signaling the company’s cost-saving efforts. The net income, which wildly fluctuated from a gain to a loss, underscores the volatile nature of the current market environment and at the same time speaks to the company’s efforts in correcting its profitability by introducing targeted cost-cutting and inventory management.
Opportunities
OneWater Marine has one major opportunity. This is the recently acquired Garden State Yacht Sales. The goal of the acquisition is to expand the company’s coverage in the Mid-Atlantic area and supplement its Stone Harbor operations. The top management hopes that through tying up this new site with the already existing ones, they will be able to become more reliable to customers and attract a larger market share. I see that this is a smart maneuver that is likely to have positive impacts connected with capturing a higher customer count and adding more diverse service options while improving profitability (Q2 2024 earnings call).
Yet another major opportunity exists in the stabilization of finance and insurance sales. The finance involvement that is above 60% of new boat buyers will ensure that OneWater Marine will capitalize further on the ongoing demand for financing options in boat purchases. The stability in the finance and insurance business is of utmost significance as it contributes not only to increased revenue but also to customer retention by providing purchasers with a complete purchasing solution. The organization’s commitment to marketing integrity and ensuring credit availability will likely continue to support these revenue streams (Q2 2024 earnings call).
Challenges
OneWater Marine has to face one major stumbling block. This is the continuing pressure in their distribution segment. The decrease in boat manufacturer production for 2024, as a result of stock-outs at dealers, has drastically influenced segment sales. This tendency is expected to prolong throughout the whole year, which will not only scale down the overall revenue but net income as well. The company has to come up with strategic plans to manage this by balancing their inventory quantities with market demand and searching for new ways to create demand in the distribution channels segment (Q2 2024 earnings call).There is one more challenge. This is the external economic environment and its effect on consumer sentiment. Despite the fact that the company has seen a return to more normalized demand patterns, the competitive selling environment and changing pricing dynamics are ongoing difficulties. I see that the possibility of external macroeconomic problems like inflation or changes in consumer spending behavior brings uncertainty. To address these risks and sustain the market position, OneWater Marine must scan its expense management and plan strategically regularly (Q2 2024 earnings call).
Valuation
Gross Margin |
PS ratio TTM |
PE Ratio TTM |
Growth revenue |
Growth EPS |
Revenue growth forward (analysts estimate) |
Earnings growth forward (analysts estimate) |
|
OneWater Marine |
25.83% |
0.2 |
nan |
2.17% |
-177.65% |
4.82% |
-24.82% |
Sector |
36.79% |
4.18 |
17.29 |
2.2% |
5.03% |
3.75% |
2.87% |
Source: Seeking Alpha. Data retrieved on 07-04-2024.
OneWater Marine is the business whose valuation metrics most clearly demonstrate the disparity when compared to the sector median. I see that the company’s gross margin is reported at 25.83%, whereas the sector median is 36.79%. Additionally, the company’s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is extremely low at 0.2, compared to the sector’s 4.18, while the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio cannot be accounted for due to the company’s recent loss, with the sector median at 17.29. Given the scenarios of both opportunities and challenges, a balanced growth rate of about 3% might be achievable. An appropriate P/E ratio could be something like 12 and a P/S ratio could be 1.5 if growth is sustained as it is now. This is actualized in how the company tries to both survive the industry and constantly evolve.
Conclusion
OneWater Marine is the business whose valuation metrics most clearly demonstrate the disparity when compared to the sector median. The company’s gross margin is reported at 25.83%, whereas the sector median is 36.79%. Additionally, the company’s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is extremely low at 0.2, compared to the sector’s 4.18, while the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio cannot be accounted for due to the company’s recent loss, with the sector median at 17.29. Given the scenarios of both opportunities and challenges, a balanced growth rate of about 3% might be achievable. With this growth, a justifiable P/E ratio may be around 12, and a P/S ratio around 1.5, reflecting the company’s efforts to maintain stability and develop within industry constraints.